FSSR16 Method
    • 25 Oct 2024
    • 12 Minutes to read

    FSSR16 Method


    Article summary

    Data

    Field in Data Entry Form

    Description

    Name in Datafile

    ARF

    Areal reduction factor to calculate event rainfall. If set to zero then the areal reduction factor is calculated by Flood Modeller. Range 0.0 to 1.0.

    arf

    Baseflow Value

    User-defined baseflow (m3/s)

    BF

    Minimum Flow

    Adjusted baseflow (m3/s). Usually zero. Sets a minimum flow to be generated by the unit. This may be required for program stability

    BFADJS

    Baseflow Calculation Method

    Baseflow flag FSSR16 (bfflag='F16BF'): use FSSR 16 calculation method for baseflow, or Observed (bfflag='OBSBF'): use user-defined baseflow value.

    BFFLAG

    Simulation Type

    Flow values to use during simulation, can be one of:

    • 'base flow' (bfonly)
    • 'peak flow' (pfonly)
    • 'full hydrograph' ('null': default)

    For example, if 'base flow' is selected then the baseflow contribution is used for the boundary flow value for the simulation.

    bfonly

    Tp Coefficent

    Calibration factor for Tp. Default value is 1.0

    CALIB

    Catchment Area

    Contributing catchment area (km2)

    CAREA

    Country

    Country (`ENGLAND', `WALES', `SCOTLAND' or `IRELAND')

    COUNTRY

    Catchment Wetness Index Flag

    Catchment wetness index calculation flag FSR (cwflag='FSRCW'):use FSR method or Observed (cwflag='OBSCW'): use user-input value

    CWFLAG

    Observed CWI

    (User-defined) catchment wetness index (mm)

    CWI

    Event Rainfall Flag

    Event rainfall flag FSR (erflag=`FSRER'):use FSR method to calculate rainfall depth or Observed (erflag='OBSER'): use user-input rainfall depth

    ERFLAG

    Use Equal Return Periods

    When this flag is set to (force='FORCE'), the program stops if Tf is not equal to Ts for the SUMMER rainfall profile option.

    FORCE

    Boundary Type Flag

    Boundary mode flag: 'HYDROGRAPH' (the default if blank) denotes a generated hydrograph (i.e. the unit behaves as a QTBDY); 'HYETOGRAPH' indicates that it behaves as a REBDY-type unit, applying the Rainfall profile to a Rainfall-Only boundary (the latter must be used in conjunction with a lateral inflow node)

    hymode

    M5-2D

    5 year return period 2 day duration rainfall (mm) (Figure II.3.2 in FSR)

    M5-2D

    M5-25D

    5 year return period 25 day duration rainfall (mm) (Figure II.3.4 in FSR)

    M5-25D

    Main Stream Length

    Main stream length (km)

    MSL

    n/a

    Number of rainfall profile values

    nrp

    n/a

    Number of unit hydrograph values

    nuh

    Rainfall depth

    Event rainfall precipitation (mm)

    P

    PR

    Percentage runoff (range 0 - 100)

    PR

    Runoff Flag

    Percentage runoff calculation flag: FSSR16 (prflag='FSRPR'): use FSSR16 method and SPR to caluclate percent runoff: or Observed (prflag=`OBSPR'):use user-input PR value.

    PRFLAG

    Percent Runoff Flag

    FIXED (or blank) for fixed percentage runoff, VARIABLE for PR varying through the storm

    PRVAR

    Jenkinson’s r

    Ratio of 60 minute M5 rainfall to 2 day M5 rainfall (M5-60min/M5-2D) (Jenkinson's r)

    r

    Storm Profile: Rainfall

    Observed rainfall profile values, starting at tstart with data interval t (mm)

    rp

    Storm Profile Flag

    Rainfall profile flag: FSR 50% Summer (rpflag=`SUMRP'):use standard FSR 50% Summer profile; FSR 75% Winter (rpflag='WINRP'):use standard FSR 75% Winter profile: or Observed (rpflag='OBSRP'): use observed rainfall [profile].

    RPFLAG

    Use refined rainfall profile

    If checked (refine rp=1), uses a finer discretisation of the standard FSR rainfall profiles - can prevent 'blocky' rainfall profiles for long storm/short data interval events.

    refine_rp

     SMD

    Residual soil moisture deficit (mm). Not used for FSSR16 computations

    RSMD

    Stream  Slope (S1085)

    Stream slope over 10 to 85% of mainstream length (m/km)

    S1085

     SAAR

    Standard annual average rainfall (mm)

    SAAR

    Hydrograph Scaling Method:Scale

    Hydrograph scaling method 'FULL' (scaling= 'FULL' (default) scales the whole hydrograph; Quick Runoff (scaling="'RUNOFF"):scaling only applies to the quick runoff component of the hydrograph.

    Used in conjunction with SCFLAG and scfact.

    SCALING

    Method

    Hydrograph scaling option. By a factor of scflag='SCALE'[default]) - applies the specified factor; To fit peak of (scflag='PEAK') - fits the hydrograph peak to the specified value.

    SCFLAG

      -----

    If SCFLAG=PEAK then all hydrograph ordinates are scaled (by a constant value) to achieve a peak flow of scfact

    If SCFLAG=SCALE then all hydrograph ordinates are multiplied by scfact (default is 1.0)

    scfact

     n/a

    Soil index; a weighted sum of soil fractions SOIL1,..., SOIL5 (not used in this unit but a value between 0 and 1 inclusive must be entered; retained for historical purposes)

    SOIL

     Snow Melt Rate

    Rate of snowmelt (mm/day)

    SNRATE

    SPR

    Standard percentage runoff (range 0 - 100)

    SPR

    Storm Area

    Storm area (km2). When STAREA is entered as zero then STAREA is set to CAREA

    STAREA

    Storm Duration

    Storm duration (hrs)

    STDUR

    Data Interval

    Time interval used for rainfall profile and unit hydrograph (hrs)

    t

    Time Delay

    Optional delay time (hrs), eg if tdelay=2hrs then the hydrograph will start 2hrs after the start time of the simulation

    tdelay

    Rainfall Return Period

    Return period of rainfall event (years)

    Ts

    Flood Return Period

    Flood return period (years)

    Tf

    Tp Value

    User-defined time to peak of t-hour unit hydrograph (hrs)

    Tp

     Tp Calculation Method

    Unit hydrograph Tp flag. FSSR16 (tpflag='F16P'): use FSSR16 method to calculate unit hydrograph time-to-peak; R124 (tpflag='R124TP'): use IoH (UKCEH) report 124, or Observed (tpflag=`OBSTP'): use user-defined value.  

    TPFLAG

    UH Ordinate

    Unit hydrograph ordinates with data interval t (units: uhunit, default: m3/s/mm)

    uh

    UH Time

    Unit hydrograph time (hrs)

     

    Units

    Units of unit hydrograph ordinates: Default is Cumecs/mm (uhunit='MMAREA')

    uhunit

    TB Scale Factor

    Unit hydrograph time base (TB) adjustment factor. New time base is uhbadj multiplied by the calculated TB value. The UH peak is adjusted accordingly to preserve its unit property.

    uhbadj

    Unit Hydrograph Flag

    Unit hydrograph flag. FSR (uhflag='FSRUH'): use standard FSR triangular hydrograph, or Observed (uhflag='OBSUH'): use user-defined unit hydrograph

    UHFLAG

     Urban Fraction

    Fraction of catchment in urban development (range 0.0 - 1.0)

    URBAN

     n/a

    Elevation (mAD). Not used in FSSR16 computations

    z

    Theory and Guidance

    The FSSR16 Boundary Method (FSSR16BDY) derives an inflow hydrograph from a catchment or sub-catchment. The hydrograph then becomes a boundary condition equivalent to a Flow Time Boundary.

    The FSSR16 Boundary is a rainfall-runoff model based on procedures set out in the Flood Studies Report (1975) and includes revisions contained in subsequent supplementary reports.

    The FSSR16 Boundary will either generate flow hydrographs for design return period events, or will simulate runoff during historic events using recorded rainfall and other input data.

    The rainfall-runoff model is based on unit hydrograph theory. For the required location effective rainfall is transformed into a runoff hydrograph by convolution with the unit hydrograph.

    The Flood Studies Supplementary Reports (1977-1988) Number 16 (FSSR16) of 1985 derived new regression equations based on a larger data set than those in the original FSR. This data set included a wider range of catchment types, with a greater number smaller and more highly urbanised catchments than had been available previously. The report recommended that these regression equations be used for design in preference to the original FSR set.

    The flow-time curve produced by this unit can be checked prior to a full computational run using the Calculated Hydrograph tab or running a Boundary Mode simulation. A summary of the data is output as an ASCII file with the extension '.zzb' and the hydrograph is tabulated in an ASCII file with the extension 'zzh'. If the boundary run extends over the length of the event then the resultant hydrograph can be graphed using the Time Series option. You can generate a datafile with only one node (which is a Hydrological Boundary) and run Boundary Mode in order to generate the hydrograph.

    When used in a Steady-state simulation you may wish to set the boundary flow to be at the peak flow rate from the hydrograph - to do this toggle the Simulation Type field to display: Peak flow. Alternatively you may wish to toggle the field to display: Full hydrograph - this will enable you to run a steady simulation at a specific time in the event.

    To apply the FSR method, parameter values can be estimated by regression based on data obtained from maps if observed values are not available. Where such data are available, or can be derived from analysis of recorded events, this data should be used in preference to the regression equations; this facility is included within the FSSR16BDY unit.

    The user should also be aware that design flow hydrographs produced by all standard methods can be highly inaccurate if not calibrated. Specialised hydrological advice may be required to supplement the predictions made by the software.

    The concept of 'flags' is used to describe data control. These flags are typically specified via radio buttons (e.g. Runoff: FSSR16 (SPR) or Observed (PR)) and referred to below in the form xxFLAG (e.g. PRFLAG, UHFLAG etc.), equivalent to those written to the data file, and are used to select from a number of different options. Data which are not required by the option selected need not be specified.

    Equations

    The FSSR16 Boundary calculates total runoff according to:

    FSRTotalRunoffEqn

    (1)

    for m = 1, M

    where:

    Qm = total runoff at time m

    Pm-n = precipitation at time (m - n); either calculated (ERFLAG = `FSRER') or observed (ERFLAG = `OBSER'). This value will use rainfall profile data which can either be based on winter data (RPFLAG = `WINRP'), summer data (RPFLAG = `SUMRP'), or observed values (RPFLAG = `OBSRP').

    UHn = unit hydrograph ordinate n; either calculated (UHFLAG = `FSRUH') or observed (UHFLAG = `OBSUH')

    PR = percentage runoff; either calculated (PRFLAG =`F16PR') or observed (PRFLAG = `OBSPR')

    M = total time period for the flood hydrograph

    N = total time period for the rainfall event

    Regression Equations

    The observed value of any of these processes can be entered directly. They could also be calculated by setting appropriate flags so that the unit will use one or more of the following regression equations:

    Baseflow

    If BFFLAG = F16BF':

    bf = (33 (CWI - 125) + 3.0 SAAR + 5.5) x10-5

    (2)

    Total Percentage Runoff

    If PRFLAG = F16PR':

    PR = PRRURAL(1- 0.3 URBAN) + 70(0.3 URBAN)

    (3)

    where:

    PRRURAL = SPR + DPRCWI + DPRRAIN

    DPRCWI = 0.25 (CWI - 125)

    DPRRAIN = 0.45 (P - 40)0.7 (P > 40mm)

    = 0 (P £ 40mm)

    P = precipitation (mm)

    DPR = dynamic Percentage Runoff

    CWI may be entered directly (CWFLAG = `OBSCW') or the program can calculate it using a method based on Figure I.6.62 in the Flood Studies Report of 1975 (CWFLAG = `FSRCW').

    PT is calculated as the sum of the rainfall and the snowmelt.

    SPR may be treated as a calibration parameter or calculated from the equation:

    SPR=10*S1 + 30*S2 + 37*S3 + 47*S4 + 53*S5

    (4)

    where:

    S1, S2 and so on are the proportions of the soil fractions in the catchment. The equation is from FSSR16 and the soil fractions are from FSR Figure I.4.18.

    Unit Hydrograph parameters

    If TPFLAG = F16TP then use the FSSR16 equation:

    Tp   (0) = 283* S1085-0.33 (1+URBAN)-2.2SAAR-0.54MSL0.23

    (5)

    If TPFLAG = R124TP then use the equation recommended in IH Report 124:

     Tp (0) = Tp(0)rural (1+URBAN)B 

    (6)

    where:

    Tp(0)rural = 283*S1085-0.33SAAR-0.54MSL0.23

    and

    B = -1 - 3 exp(-[Tp(0)rural/7]2)

    Tp(t) = Tp (0) + t/2

    Qp = 0.22 CAREA / Tp(t)

    where:

    Tp (0) = time to peak of the instantaneous unit hydrograph (hrs)

    Tp (t) = time to peak of t-hour unit hydrograph (hrs)

    Qp = peak flow of t-hour unit hydrograph (m3/s)

    For the regression equations used when calculating rainfall refer to the Flood Studies Report (1975), Volume I, Chapter 6.

    General

    The user is referred to the Flood Studies Report (1975) and Flood Studies Supplementary Reports (1977-1988) Report No. 16 for fuller details of the methodology and derivation of the synthetic equations.

    The data used to derive the FSR synthetic equations were gathered from catchments under 500 Km2 in the United Kingdom and were mostly from events less than twice the mean annual flood. Application to larger catchments (especially those larger than 1000 km2), to overseas catchments, or to the prediction of floods with higher return periods must be made with caution.

    It is further recommended that where possible, the model parameter values obtained from the regression equations are replaced with, or revised using, values from observed data. General recommendations on parameter estimation are given below.

    If a direct estimate of the lag time is available, the FSR recommends calculating Tp as:

     Tp(0) = 0.604 LAG1.144 

    (7)

    where:

    LAG is the time between the centroid of rainfall and centroid of hydrograph peak.

    The data interval, t (hours), is chosen by the modeller by using the equation recommended by the FSR given below:

    t = Tp / 5

    (8)

    This should then be rounded off to a convenient number of hours or a fraction of an hour.

    Furthermore, it is usually important to find the critical values of parameters such as CWI, D, storm profile and P which give the largest flood peak (or largest flood volume in some cases). The sensitivity of the model results to these parameters is described in the FSR and the conclusions are:

    • Simulated flows are largely insensitive to rainfall profiles except in responsive catchments. The FSR recommends use of the 75% winter profile or 50% summer profile. These two profiles are included as options in the FSSR16BDY unit and can be accessed by setting the Storm Profile flag.
    • Simulated peak flows can be sensitive to D, the storm duration. If this parameter is not treated as a calibration parameter, it should be chosen according to:

      FSRStormDurationEqn

      (9)

      with D taken as the nearest odd integer multiple of t. The raw value of D, i.e. not adjusted for t, is output under Critical Storm Duration in the *.zzb (data summary) file after an unsteady or boundary mode simulation. The value of Tp used is the time to peak of the t-hour unit hydrograph.
    • Simulated peak flows are sensitive to CWI, the catchment wetness index. If it is not treated as a calibration parameter, the FSSR16BDY unit will calculate it using FSR Figure I.6.62. The relevant flag is CWFLAG.

    In the FSR procedure the flow return period is not necessarily equal to the storm (rainfall) return period.

    • For summer rain profiles the FSR recommends that the storm return period is set equal to the flow return period. If this is not done the simulation will stop unless the 'force' flag has been set.
    • For winter profiles, however, the FSR procedure provides a relationship between the storm and flow return periods (e.g. a 140 year storm return period for a 75% winter storm profile is said to produce a 100 year return period flow). In FSSR16BDY the program will use these relationships if the storm return period is set to zero.

    General guidance for estimating the values of AREA, MSL, S1085, RSM, URBAN and SOIL are presented in the Flood Studies Report, Volume I, Chapter 4.

    Areal reduction factors are based on the storm area (STAREA) unless the storm area is set to zero in which case the areal reduction factor is based on the catchment area. An areal reduction factor can be specified in the data file.

    For further information on the FSR method, see:

    Datafile Format

    Line 1 - Keyword `FSSR16BDY'

    Line 2 - Label

    Line 3 - z

    Line 4 - tdelay, t, bfonly

    Line 5 - COUNTRY

    Line 6 - CAREA, S1085, MSL, SOIL, URBAN

    Line 7 - STAREA, STDUR, RSMD, SNRATE

    Line 8 - SAAR, M5-2D, r, M5-25D, FORCE

    Line 9 - ERFLAG

    Line 10 - P (if ERFLAG = `OBSER')

    Line 10 - Tf , Ts , arf (if ERFLAG = `FSRER')

    Line 11 - CWFLAG

    Line 12 - CWI (if CWFLAG = `OBSCW')

    Line 12 - Any Value (if CWFLAG = `FSRCW')

    Line 13 - PRFLAG, [PRVAR]

    Line 14 - PR (if PRFLAG = `OBSPR')

    Line 14 - SPR (if PRFLAG = `F16PR')

    Line 15 - TPFLAG

    Line 16 - CALIB, Tp (if TPFLAG = `OBSTP')

    Line 16 - CALIB (if TPFLAG = F16TP' or `R124TP')

    Line 17 - BFFLAG

    Line 18 - BFADJS, BF (if BFFLAG = `OBSBF')

    Line 18 - BFADJS (if BFFLAG = `F16BF')

    Line 19 - UHFLAG

    Line 20 - 0 (if UHFLAG = `FSRUH')

    Line 20 - nuh (if UHFLAG = `OBSUH')

    Line 21 to Line 20 + nuh - uh (if UHFLAG = `OBSUH')

    Line 21 + nuh - RPFLAG

    Line 22 + nuh - 0 (if RPFLAG = `WINRP')

    Line 22 + nuh - 0 (if RPFLAG = `SUMRP')

    Line 22 + nuh - nrp (if RPFLAG = `OBSRP')

    Line 23 + nuh to Line 22 + nuh + nrp - rp (if RPFLAG = `OBSRP')

    RiverNodesimagesFSRData.gif



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